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The Fed's Cook is Goosed

Posted August 26, 2025

Sean Ring

By Sean Ring

The Fed's Cook is Goosed

It finally happened.

For the first time in American history, a President has fired a Federal Reserve governor for cause.

Yesterday, President Donald J. Trump dismissed Lisa Cook, a Biden-nominated Fed Governor, over allegations of mortgage fraud and “gross negligence” in financial dealings. Cook, the first African-American woman ever to serve as a Fed governor, refused to resign despite pressure from Trump and his allies. After that, the President simply showed her the door.

It’s YUGE news, but honestly, I’m just not all that broken up about it. While I no longer consider myself a pure libertarian, I still look forward to the day Ron Paul’s edict of “End the Fed” becomes a reality.

After the likes of Arthur Burns, Alan Greenspan, and Janet Yellen running the place, it’s tiresome to pretend the Fed is genuinely independent.

The Allegations

The case centers on Cook’s mortgage filings from 2021. She allegedly signed loan documents for two properties — one in Michigan, one in Georgia — both declaring them her “primary residence.” Why does that matter?

Because lenders typically give much better terms to buyers occupying the home themselves, not renting it out. It’s cheaper money. Lower down payments. Favorable rates.

If Cook misrepresented her intent, that’s mortgage fraud. And to pile it on, she’s also accused of failing to disclose rental income on her financial statements.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency flagged the issue and passed it along to the Department of Justice earlier this month. But — and this is important — Cook hasn’t been charged with a crime. She’s maintained her innocence, promising transparency, and insisting she’ll “gather all the facts.”

Still, Trump moved first. He declared her guilty enough to be fired. Boy, he really wants those rates down.

An Unprecedented Move

Here’s the rub: no Fed governor has ever been dismissed like this.

The Federal Reserve Act protects governors from political interference precisely because, allegedly, independence is the cornerstone of central banking. Monetary policy doesn’t work if politicians can chop and change the Board of Governors like Cabinet secretaries, they say. Personally, I think it’s a great way to shield the FOMC Governors from the consequences of their incompetence.

Traditionally, once confirmed by the Senate, Fed governors serve out their 14-year terms, come hell or high water. Even scandal — short of outright criminal conviction — hasn’t touched that independence before.

But The Donald, never shy of smashing norms, just tore that wall down.

He claims Cook’s alleged misstatements constitute “gross negligence” and therefore justify her dismissal. His critics say he’s weaponizing scandal to exert direct control over monetary policy. Either way, the precedent is set.

The Market Fallout

Wall Street threw a tantrum, as if it wouldn’t benefit from a rate cut.

Treasury yields steepened as investors demanded higher premiums for long-term bonds. Translation: markets see more inflation risk if Fed credibility is compromised.

The dollar fell sharply against the other major currencies. Traders don’t like uncertainty about the U.S.’s reserve-currency status.

Stocks wobbled, particularly in financials, as banks contemplated a Fed increasingly subject to political winds.

If investors believe the Fed can no longer act independently, inflation expectations will rise. Capital costs rise. The dollar weakens.

The Supreme Court Question

Now comes the legal cage match.

Can a president fire a Fed governor? The Federal Reserve Act is murky on this point. It’s generally assumed governors are protected from “at will” dismissal. That’s the whole point of giving them 14-year terms.

But Trump’s team argues that “for cause” removal is allowed — and that mortgage fraud, even alleged, meets the standard.

Legal scholars are already circling. Some predict the case could head to the Supreme Court, where conservative justices may take a broad view of presidential authority. If that happens, we’ll get a definitive ruling on the balance of power between the White House and the Eccles Building.

Until then, it’s a constitutional gray zone.

A Blow to Credibility

Here’s what matters most: Markets run on confidence. The dollar’s dominance runs on confidence. And Fed independence has always been a pillar of that system.

If traders, investors, and foreign governments start to believe the Fed is no longer insulated from politics, they’ll price that risk in. That means higher borrowing costs for America. That means more volatility.

But luckily for us, that means gold and silver should start ripping higher in their roles as safe havens.

Even if Cook did misrepresent her mortgages — and let’s be clear, she hasn’t been convicted of anything — the bigger issue is that the President just demonstrated he can boot a Fed governor if he wants to.

That genie is out of the bottle.

The Political Dimension

Of course, the political knives are out.

Trump’s allies are framing the dismissal as long-overdue accountability. Why should a Fed governor accused of financial misdeeds remain above reproach, they argue, when any other federal official would be forced to step down? It’s a great question that needed to be asked decades ago.

Democrats see it differently. They view this as an authoritarian power grab, an attempt by Trump to intimidate Jerome Powell and the rest of the Board into compliance. After all, Trump has been at war with the Fed since his first term, alternately berating Powell for being too hawkish or too dovish.

But since the Democrats used lawfare like it was an inexhaustible resource, they look stupid protesting.

Cook herself has emphasized her innocence and her refusal to bow to political pressure. That defiance may become symbolic, regardless of how the legal process plays out. But keep in mind, many in DC think themselves “innocent” when they’re the first to be caught doing what everyone else there is doing.

Why It Matters Globally

America isn’t the only country watching.

The one point that matters is that foreign central banks hold about $3.75 trillion in U.S. Treasuries. They rely on the Federal Reserve to manage monetary policy free from political meddling. If they begin to believe otherwise, they may diversify away from the dollar.

China and Russia already push alternatives to dollar dominance. The BRICS bloc would love nothing more than to paint the Fed as a political pawn. Trump may have just handed them ammunition.

And let’s not forget: global markets still look to the Fed for guidance in crises. If that trust erodes, the whole international financial system wobbles.

But if this situation resolves itself smoothly, I don’t think the effects will be as dire as the pundits feel.

Where This Goes Next

The legal fight may drag on for months. Cook may sue, claiming unlawful dismissal. The courts will wrestle with statutory language written in 1913 for a very different era.

Metals will shine. Gold and silver thrive on institutional mistrust. This firing just turbocharged their case.

The Fed’s aura is gone. Even if Cook is reinstated - which I doubt - the perception of invulnerability is shattered. Future presidents will remember this playbook.

Wrap Up

For over a century, the Federal Reserve has wrapped itself in the cloak of independence. Governors served out their terms. Presidents respected, even if they disliked, the boundary. Markets trusted the system.

That era is over.

The Donald’s firing of Lisa Cook isn’t just about mortgage paperwork, important though that is.

We’ll see soon enough whether the Supreme Court restores that boundary or blesses Trump’s precedent. But either way, the Fed’s credibility is weaker today than it was yesterday.

I’m not entirely sure that’s a bad thing.

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